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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94380501507437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+35Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave0
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points6
27Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +14
8Coral scored#6
27Coral points21
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
41Total teleop27
Reef
6L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points0
74Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.20.4
42.441.9
Auto5.4
Teleop35.0
End2.8
red by 19.8
4533
#26
23.40.3
19.619.3
Auto4.0
Teleop14.8
End4.6
Second
1102
#19
28.10.4
26.826.3
Auto7.1
Teleop21.0
End0.1
red by 14.9
13.20.3
14.314.0
Auto3.2
Teleop8.5
End1.4
Third
9315
#24
10.90.4
8.37.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End3.0
red by 4.5
1539
#34
6.40.3
5.04.7
Auto0.8
Teleop5.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed