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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1067240608012014016018016876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+90Teleop
+92Endgame
+92Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave3
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points23
30Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +86
18Coral scored#6
66Coral points22
4Processor algae#1
8Net algae#2
24Processor points6
32Net points8
56Algae points14
122Total teleop36
Reef
7L4#4
7L3#4
5L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
36Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +92
0Foul points0
168Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.54.1
36.440.5
Auto10.2
Teleop35.5
End2.8
red by 22.7
25.90.1
22.222.1
Auto7.8
Teleop12.9
End5.2
Second
342
#12
41.34.1
23.327.4
Auto4.0
Teleop33.7
End3.5
red by 15.6
6366
#22
25.70.1
15.615.5
Auto5.7
Teleop16.7
End3.3
Third
31.04.1
25.829.9
Auto4.5
Teleop19.6
End6.9
red by 11.2
19.80.1
21.821.7
Auto6.4
Teleop10.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsEarned