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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386902060801001201401604271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+21
Endgame+35
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points9
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +18
5Coral scored#9
17Coral points33
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
25Total teleop43
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
6Foul points0
42Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5130
#17
26.30.2
19.519.7
Auto5.1
Teleop20.5
End0.7
blue by 12.0
38.31.0
28.529.5
Auto4.1
Teleop25.8
End8.5
Second
9.20.2
7.37.4
Auto3.9
Teleop4.6
End0.8
blue by 11.3
6961
#10
20.51.0
16.617.6
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End2.2
Third
3976
#31
7.30.2
6.97.0
Auto2.1
Teleop3.9
End1.3
blue by 6.2
7085
#15
13.51.0
11.212.2
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed70%Barge oddsEarned