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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3879020601001201406897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+15
Endgame+11
Fouls+29
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +11
11Coral scored#14
39Coral points50
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
53Total teleop64
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#19
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points18
68Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3489
#16
28.31.1
16.117.3
Auto4.3
Teleop22.8
End1.2
blue by 17.0
343
#1
45.30.0
46.947.0
Auto11.4
Teleop27.8
End6.1
Second
1319
#14
19.81.1
14.215.4
Auto7.5
Teleop9.7
End2.6
red by 6.9
12.90.0
8.18.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End0.6
Third
9.91.1
9.310.5
Auto1.3
Teleop7.4
End1.2
blue by 1.6
8137
#33
11.50.0
12.212.2
Auto2.6
Teleop7.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed