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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58992040801201401609070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+22Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points12
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +15
14Coral scored#10
49Coral points36
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
6Processor points12
12Net points4
18Algae points16
67Total teleop52
Reef
6L4#4
4L3#4
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
90Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#12
41.32.3
27.429.7
Auto4.0
Teleop33.7
End3.5
blue by 14.1
4451
#11
55.40.8
50.249.4
Auto11.5
Teleop42.4
End1.5
Second
24.02.3
17.720.0
Auto8.4
Teleop14.4
End1.2
red by 2.1
9571
#23
21.90.8
20.119.3
Auto4.6
Teleop15.1
End2.2
Third
12.82.3
10.312.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.3
End1.5
blue by 4.0
1293
#28
16.90.8
12.411.5
Auto3.0
Teleop9.9
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed