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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80108406010012014016018079118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+27
Endgame+39
Fouls+39
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +23
13Coral scored#19
47Coral points70
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
65Total teleop88
Reef
7L4#7
3L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +39
0Foul points0
79Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.20.3
41.941.6
Auto5.4
Teleop35.0
End2.8
blue by 5.3
48.51.0
40.541.5
Auto10.2
Teleop35.5
End2.8
Second
5130
#17
26.30.3
19.719.3
Auto5.1
Teleop20.5
End0.7
blue by 11.3
281
#7
37.61.0
31.832.9
Auto5.9
Teleop31.2
End0.6
Third
13.20.3
14.013.6
Auto3.2
Teleop8.5
End1.4
blue by 12.7
25.91.0
22.123.1
Auto7.8
Teleop12.9
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsEarned