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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6137020801001201407626

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+48Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
25Coral points12
25Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +35
8Coral scored#2
27Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
45Total teleop10
Reef
5L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
17Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
76Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.91.6
27.829.3
Auto11.1
Teleop25.9
End1.8
red by 19.0
19.80.7
21.721.0
Auto6.4
Teleop10.5
End2.9
Second
1319
#14
19.81.6
15.416.9
Auto7.5
Teleop9.7
End2.6
red by 8.9
9315
#24
10.90.7
7.97.2
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End3.0
Third
4083
#32
8.61.6
9.411.0
Auto0.9
Teleop6.3
End1.4
red by 1.4
3976
#31
7.30.7
7.06.3
Auto2.1
Teleop3.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
5%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed