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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1004802040608012014016010182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+27Teleop
+27Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points20
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +34
17Coral scored#8
61Coral points29
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#1
6Processor points12
12Net points4
18Algae points16
79Total teleop45
Reef
5L4#6
7L3#3
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points8
101Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#11
55.40.9
49.450.3
Auto11.5
Teleop42.4
End1.5
red by 27.3
1102
#19
28.11.5
26.327.8
Auto7.1
Teleop21.0
End0.1
Second
38.30.9
29.530.4
Auto4.1
Teleop25.8
End8.5
red by 12.7
6366
#22
25.71.5
15.517.0
Auto5.7
Teleop16.7
End3.3
Third
12.90.9
8.29.1
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End0.6
blue by 0.7
13.61.5
9.811.3
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed