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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions325502040801001205843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+15
Endgame+15
+15Fouls
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points15
6Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +6
3Coral scored#5
12Coral points18
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
16Total teleop22
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#2
0L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#9
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
30Foul points0
58Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7085
#15
13.50.1
12.212.1
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End2.5
blue by 8.4
9571
#23
21.90.3
19.319.0
Auto4.6
Teleop15.1
End2.2
Second
12.80.1
12.612.5
Auto4.0
Teleop7.3
End1.5
blue by 7.7
6961
#10
20.50.3
17.617.3
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End2.2
Third
1539
#34
6.40.1
4.74.6
Auto0.8
Teleop5.1
End0.4
blue by 3.5
9.90.3
10.510.2
Auto1.3
Teleop7.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed64%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed