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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions905810015011757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+48Teleop
+58Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +42
17Coral scored#9
60Coral points32
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
84Total teleop42
Reef
9L4#4
5L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
2Foul points0
117Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.01.6
29.931.5
Auto4.5
Teleop19.6
End6.9
red by 5.1
1758
#13
25.90.6
18.217.5
Auto4.4
Teleop20.7
End0.8
Second
3489
#16
28.31.6
17.318.9
Auto4.3
Teleop22.8
End1.2
red by 4.9
4533
#26
23.40.6
19.318.7
Auto4.0
Teleop14.8
End4.6
Third
24.01.6
20.021.7
Auto8.4
Teleop14.4
End1.2
red by 14.7
9.20.6
7.46.8
Auto3.9
Teleop4.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed