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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1323605010015020025015555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+88Teleop
+100Endgame
+100Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave9
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +74
26Coral scored#8
94Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
118Total teleop44
Reef
16L4#3
6L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
34Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +100
0Foul points0
155Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#1
45.32.8
47.049.8
Auto11.4
Teleop27.8
End6.1
red by 18.9
5130
#17
26.30.3
19.319.7
Auto5.1
Teleop20.5
End0.7
Second
342
#12
41.32.8
29.732.5
Auto4.0
Teleop33.7
End3.5
red by 29.7
8137
#33
11.50.3
12.212.5
Auto2.6
Teleop7.0
End1.9
Third
38.32.8
30.433.2
Auto4.1
Teleop25.8
End8.5
red by 27.4
9315
#24
10.90.3
7.27.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned9%Barge oddsMissed