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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3010605015020034119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+77
Endgame+85
Fouls+85
AutonomousBlue +18
3Leave0
2Coral scored#6
9Coral points30
12Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +59
3Coral scored#13
12Coral points47
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
0Processor points12
4Net points16
4Algae points28
16Total teleop75
Reef
3L4#8
1L3#5
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +85
0Foul points0
34Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6961
#10
20.50.1
17.317.1
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End2.2
blue by 28.0
48.52.1
41.543.6
Auto10.2
Teleop35.5
End2.8
Second
12.80.1
12.512.3
Auto4.0
Teleop7.3
End1.5
blue by 26.0
38.92.1
29.331.4
Auto11.1
Teleop25.9
End1.8
Third
3976
#31
7.30.1
6.36.2
Auto2.1
Teleop3.9
End1.3
blue by 18.4
6366
#22
25.72.1
17.019.1
Auto5.7
Teleop16.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned