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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions631105010015020070123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+41
Endgame+53
Fouls+53
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +44
10Coral scored#19
36Coral points68
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
6Processor points18
12Net points12
18Algae points30
54Total teleop98
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#8
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points0
70Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.7
21.721.0
Auto8.4
Teleop14.4
End1.2
blue by 19.3
43.20.5
41.642.0
Auto5.4
Teleop35.0
End2.8
Second
4533
#26
23.40.7
18.718.0
Auto4.0
Teleop14.8
End4.6
blue by 7.6
31.00.5
31.532.0
Auto4.5
Teleop19.6
End6.9
Third
9.90.7
10.29.5
Auto1.3
Teleop7.4
End1.2
blue by 3.7
13.60.5
11.311.7
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed84%Barge oddsEarned