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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311340501001502002503278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+38
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points18
13Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +24
3Coral scored#8
11Coral points29
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
15Total teleop39
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points0
32Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.90.2
23.123.0
Auto7.8
Teleop12.9
End5.2
blue by 29.5
4451
#11
55.42.2
50.348.1
Auto11.5
Teleop42.4
End1.5
Second
9.20.2
6.86.6
Auto3.9
Teleop4.6
End0.8
blue by 36.0
343
#1
45.32.2
49.847.6
Auto11.4
Teleop27.8
End6.1
Third
1539
#34
6.40.2
4.64.5
Auto0.8
Teleop5.1
End0.4
blue by 2.2
4083
#32
8.62.2
11.08.8
Auto0.9
Teleop6.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed