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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions745002040601001201401609052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+50Teleop
+36Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
6Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points15
16Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +52
13Coral scored#3
46Coral points10
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
70Total teleop18
Reef
6L4#2
4L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
2Foul points0
90Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#7
37.61.5
32.934.4
Auto5.9
Teleop31.2
End0.6
red by 17.8
19.80.3
21.021.3
Auto6.4
Teleop10.5
End2.9
Second
3489
#16
28.31.5
18.920.4
Auto4.3
Teleop22.8
End1.2
red by 8.5
1319
#14
19.80.3
16.917.3
Auto7.5
Teleop9.7
End2.6
Third
13.21.5
13.615.1
Auto3.2
Teleop8.5
End1.4
red by 0.3
12.90.3
9.19.4
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed6%Barge oddsEarned