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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62440208010012010337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+72Teleop
+70Endgame
+66Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +65
13Coral scored#3
47Coral points12
3Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
18Processor points0
16Net points4
34Algae points4
81Total teleop16
Reef
5L4#2
5L3#1
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
22Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +66
2Foul points6
103Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1102
#19
28.12.9
27.830.8
Auto7.1
Teleop21.0
End0.1
red by 6.2
9571
#23
21.90.8
19.018.2
Auto4.6
Teleop15.1
End2.2
Second
1758
#13
25.92.9
17.520.5
Auto4.4
Teleop20.7
End0.8
red by 12.5
7085
#15
13.50.8
12.111.3
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End2.5
Third
1293
#28
16.92.9
11.514.5
Auto3.0
Teleop9.9
End3.9
red by 5.3
8137
#33
11.50.8
12.511.7
Auto2.6
Teleop7.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed