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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291010501502003469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+45
Endgame+49
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points4
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +38
2Coral scored#9
8Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
12Total teleop50
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#2
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
14Foul points0
34Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.80.7
12.311.6
Auto4.0
Teleop7.3
End1.5
blue by 30.4
43.20.8
42.041.2
Auto5.4
Teleop35.0
End2.8
Second
9.90.7
9.58.8
Auto1.3
Teleop7.4
End1.2
blue by 31.4
342
#12
41.30.8
32.531.7
Auto4.0
Teleop33.7
End3.5
Third
4083
#32
8.60.7
8.88.1
Auto0.9
Teleop6.3
End1.4
blue by 0.6
9.20.8
6.65.8
Auto3.9
Teleop4.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed