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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions701185010015020076114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+38
Endgame+38
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave9
3Coral scored#6
16Coral points28
16Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +17
8Coral scored#13
30Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
40Total teleop57
Reef
5L4#8
2L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
6Foul points6
76Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.30.2
33.233.4
Auto4.1
Teleop25.8
End8.5
blue by 7.0
343
#1
45.30.5
47.648.1
Auto11.4
Teleop27.8
End6.1
Second
6366
#22
25.70.2
19.119.2
Auto5.7
Teleop16.7
End3.3
blue by 13.2
38.90.5
31.431.9
Auto11.1
Teleop25.9
End1.8
Third
13.20.2
15.115.3
Auto3.2
Teleop8.5
End1.4
blue by 10.8
24.00.5
21.021.5
Auto8.4
Teleop14.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsEarned