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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions695701001502002508578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+1Teleop
+1Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
6Leave6
2Coral scored#3
12Coral points14
18Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +3
13Coral scored#12
45Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
59Total teleop56
Reef
4L4#4
5L3#4
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
18Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
6Foul points0
85Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#7
37.60.9
34.435.3
Auto5.9
Teleop31.2
End0.6
blue by 11.0
48.51.4
43.645.0
Auto10.2
Teleop35.5
End2.8
Second
1319
#14
19.80.9
17.318.2
Auto7.5
Teleop9.7
End2.6
red by 12.5
3976
#31
7.31.4
6.27.6
Auto2.1
Teleop3.9
End1.3
Third
7085
#15
13.50.9
11.312.2
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End2.5
red by 7.1
1539
#34
6.41.4
4.55.8
Auto0.8
Teleop5.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned10%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsMissed