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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions755301001504169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+24
Endgame+26
Fouls+28
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
1Coral scored#0
7Coral points0
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +28
4Coral scored#9
16Coral points32
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
0Processor points12
8Net points8
8Algae points20
24Total teleop52
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
0Foul points2
41Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1102
#19
28.12.1
30.828.7
Auto7.1
Teleop21.0
End0.1
red by 1.8
5130
#17
26.30.7
19.720.4
Auto5.1
Teleop20.5
End0.7
Second
4533
#26
23.42.1
18.015.9
Auto4.0
Teleop14.8
End4.6
red by 6.6
1293
#28
16.90.7
14.515.2
Auto3.0
Teleop9.9
End3.9
Third
8137
#33
11.52.1
11.79.6
Auto2.6
Teleop7.0
End1.9
blue by 2.1
13.60.7
11.712.4
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed