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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1353805010015020014759

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+70Teleop
+88Endgame
+88Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +56
19Coral scored#10
68Coral points36
2Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
12Processor points0
20Net points8
32Algae points8
100Total teleop44
Reef
6L4#4
8L3#2
4L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#13
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +88
0Foul points0
147Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#11
55.41.7
48.149.8
Auto11.5
Teleop42.4
End1.5
red by 29.5
1758
#13
25.90.4
20.520.9
Auto4.4
Teleop20.7
End0.8
Second
31.01.7
32.033.7
Auto4.5
Teleop19.6
End6.9
red by 18.1
12.90.4
9.49.8
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End0.6
Third
25.91.7
23.024.7
Auto7.8
Teleop12.9
End5.2
red by 15.0
9315
#24
10.90.4
7.57.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned6%Barge oddsMissed