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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99910200300400500600700800107116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+17
Endgame+7
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave0
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points26
15Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +6
17Coral scored#19
62Coral points68
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
76Total teleop82
Reef
5L4#7
7L3#5
4L2#7
3L1 · trough#5
22Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points2
107Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#1
45.30.9
48.149.0
Auto11.4
Teleop27.8
End6.1
blue by 3.3
48.51.7
45.046.7
Auto10.2
Teleop35.5
End2.8
Second
9571
#23
21.90.9
18.219.1
Auto4.6
Teleop15.1
End2.2
blue by 6.4
3489
#16
28.31.7
20.422.1
Auto4.3
Teleop22.8
End1.2
Third
19.80.9
21.322.2
Auto6.4
Teleop10.5
End2.9
blue by 0.7
6961
#10
20.51.7
17.118.8
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsMissed