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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68580501001506518

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+37Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +37
10Coral scored#1
35Coral points4
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
45Total teleop8
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#0
3L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
13Game pieces#2
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
65Total score18

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.30.2
33.433.5
Auto4.1
Teleop25.8
End8.5
red by 10.2
1102
#19
28.12.5
28.726.1
Auto7.1
Teleop21.0
End0.1
Second
1758
#13
25.90.2
20.921.1
Auto4.4
Teleop20.7
End0.8
red by 12.5
7085
#15
13.52.5
12.29.6
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End2.5
Third
4083
#32
8.60.2
8.18.3
Auto0.9
Teleop6.3
End1.4
blue by 4.6
13.22.5
15.312.8
Auto3.2
Teleop8.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsMissed