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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80902040601001201401601804289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+59
Endgame+47
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
12Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +56
4Coral scored#13
14Coral points46
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#3
0Processor points12
0Net points12
0Algae points24
14Total teleop70
Reef
1L4#4
2L3#4
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points0
42Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.01.2
33.732.5
Auto4.5
Teleop19.6
End6.9
blue by 10.3
342
#12
41.31.6
31.733.2
Auto4.0
Teleop33.7
End3.5
Second
9571
#23
21.91.2
19.117.9
Auto4.6
Teleop15.1
End2.2
blue by 1.5
4533
#26
23.41.6
15.917.4
Auto4.0
Teleop14.8
End4.6
Third
3976
#31
7.31.2
7.66.3
Auto2.1
Teleop3.9
End1.3
blue by 12.5
1319
#14
19.81.6
18.219.7
Auto7.5
Teleop9.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed