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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions439201502295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+75
Endgame+73
Fouls+73
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +65
3Coral scored#14
10Coral points51
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#3
0Processor points12
0Net points12
0Algae points24
10Total teleop75
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#4
1L2#4
0L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +73
0Foul points0
22Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.81.4
22.220.8
Auto6.4
Teleop10.5
End2.9
blue by 35.6
4451
#11
55.41.2
49.851.0
Auto11.5
Teleop42.4
End1.5
Second
13.61.4
12.411.0
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.9
blue by 14.7
3489
#16
28.31.2
22.123.3
Auto4.3
Teleop22.8
End1.2
Third
9.91.4
8.87.3
Auto1.3
Teleop7.4
End1.2
red by 0.7
9.21.2
5.87.0
Auto3.9
Teleop4.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed