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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions507902040601001201401605159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+12
Endgame+2
Fouls+8
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +12
5Coral scored#7
17Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
23Total teleop35
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#10
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points6
51Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.4
21.521.9
Auto8.4
Teleop14.4
End1.2
blue by 2.4
5130
#17
26.30.7
20.419.7
Auto5.1
Teleop20.5
End0.7
Second
1293
#28
16.90.4
15.215.6
Auto3.0
Teleop9.9
End3.9
blue by 9.0
25.90.7
24.724.0
Auto7.8
Teleop12.9
End5.2
Third
9315
#24
10.90.4
7.98.3
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End3.0
blue by 9.7
6961
#10
20.50.7
18.818.1
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
5%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed