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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions916505010015011196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+23Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave6
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +6
14Coral scored#14
50Coral points50
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#2
12Processor points18
20Net points8
32Algae points26
82Total teleop76
Reef
9L4#6
5L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
111Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.51.9
46.748.6
Auto10.2
Teleop35.5
End2.8
red by 7.3
342
#12
41.32.0
33.235.3
Auto4.0
Teleop33.7
End3.5
Second
4533
#26
23.41.9
17.419.3
Auto4.0
Teleop14.8
End4.6
blue by 2.2
6366
#22
25.72.0
19.221.3
Auto5.7
Teleop16.7
End3.3
Third
12.91.9
9.811.7
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End0.6
red by 6.5
1539
#34
6.42.0
5.37.4
Auto0.8
Teleop5.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsEarned