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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65113501001506978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+7Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +10
9Coral scored#12
34Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
62Total teleop52
Reef
2L4#5
3L3#2
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points6
69Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.20.3
40.740.4
Auto5.4
Teleop35.0
End2.8
blue by 2.1
343
#1
45.32.5
49.046.5
Auto11.4
Teleop27.8
End6.1
Second
4083
#32
8.60.3
8.38.0
Auto0.9
Teleop6.3
End1.4
blue by 22.4
31.02.5
32.529.9
Auto4.5
Teleop19.6
End6.9
Third
3976
#31
7.30.3
6.36.0
Auto2.1
Teleop3.9
End1.3
blue by 2.7
9.92.5
7.34.8
Auto1.3
Teleop7.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed75%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned