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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42103015049122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+79
Endgame+61
Fouls+73
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave9
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points17
15Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +68
4Coral scored#17
14Coral points62
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
0Processor points12
0Net points8
0Algae points20
14Total teleop82
Reef
2L4#6
2L3#5
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#5
6Game pieces#24
BargeRed +18
20Cage & park2
20Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +73
0Foul points12
49Total score122

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1319
#14
19.80.1
19.719.9
Auto7.5
Teleop9.7
End2.6
blue by 35.6
4451
#11
55.41.3
51.052.3
Auto11.5
Teleop42.4
End1.5
Second
1293
#28
16.90.1
15.615.8
Auto3.0
Teleop9.9
End3.9
blue by 9.1
1758
#13
25.91.3
21.122.4
Auto4.4
Teleop20.7
End0.8
Third
8137
#33
11.50.1
11.511.7
Auto2.6
Teleop7.0
End1.9
blue by 9.0
6961
#10
20.51.3
18.119.4
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsEarned14%Barge oddsEarned