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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4386020601001201401604198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+49
Endgame+51
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave3
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points27
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +28
5Coral scored#10
18Coral points36
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
28Total teleop56
Reef
3L4#4
1L3#5
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points6
41Total score98

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3489
#16
28.30.3
23.323.0
Auto4.3
Teleop22.8
End1.2
red by 0.2
1102
#19
28.11.3
26.127.5
Auto7.1
Teleop21.0
End0.1
Second
12.80.3
13.613.3
Auto4.0
Teleop7.3
End1.5
blue by 13.0
25.91.3
24.025.3
Auto7.8
Teleop12.9
End5.2
Third
9315
#24
10.90.3
8.38.1
Auto4.0
Teleop3.9
End3.0
blue by 13.1
24.01.3
21.923.3
Auto8.4
Teleop14.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed