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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60615565706374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+1
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +1
9Coral scored#7
33Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
47Total teleop48
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
63Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#7
37.60.4
34.835.1
Auto5.9
Teleop31.2
End0.6
blue by 0.7
38.31.0
33.534.6
Auto4.1
Teleop25.8
End8.5
Second
13.60.4
11.011.4
Auto3.5
Teleop7.3
End2.9
blue by 8.3
9571
#23
21.91.0
17.918.9
Auto4.6
Teleop15.1
End2.2
Third
12.90.4
11.712.1
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End0.6
red by 3.6
9.21.0
7.08.0
Auto3.9
Teleop4.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned