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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5376020401001201406780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+21
Endgame+25
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave3
1Coral scored#4
4Coral points20
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +11
10Coral scored#10
36Coral points37
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
40Total teleop51
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
12Foul points0
67Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5130
#17
26.30.3
19.720.0
Auto5.1
Teleop20.5
End0.7
blue by 12.5
38.90.8
33.934.7
Auto11.1
Teleop25.9
End1.8
Second
6366
#22
25.70.3
21.321.6
Auto5.7
Teleop16.7
End3.3
red by 5.8
19.80.8
20.821.6
Auto6.4
Teleop10.5
End2.9
Third
7085
#15
13.50.3
9.69.9
Auto4.3
Teleop6.7
End2.5
red by 0.3
13.20.8
12.813.6
Auto3.2
Teleop8.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed