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Red110
261445.4
748324.3
396648.9
Blue72
725514.1
457622.5
500236.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1086505015020011072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+28Teleop
+40Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points23
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +21
13Coral scored#7
48Coral points25
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
66Total teleop45
Reef
9L4#3
4L3#5
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#16
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points2
110Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3966
#11Sur
48.91.1
32.633.7
Auto12.4
Teleop33.0
End3.6
red by 12.2
5002
#17Sur
36.70.4
33.433.8
Auto7.8
Teleop24.7
End4.3
Second
2614
#20
45.41.2
40.842.1
Auto11.4
Teleop29.6
End4.4
red by 22.8
4576
#43
22.50.5
16.717.2
Auto5.5
Teleop15.2
End1.8
Third
7483
#25
24.31.1
19.921.0
Auto5.6
Teleop16.2
End2.5
red by 10.2
7255
#35
14.10.4
13.413.8
Auto2.7
Teleop8.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned36%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed