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Red39
285617.1
504519.9
2137.1
Blue136
350438.0
857063.3
915212.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7611005015020025039136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+22
Teleop+59
Endgame+79
Fouls+97
AutonomousBlue +22
9Leave3
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points28
9Total auto31
TeleoperatedBlue +37
4Coral scored#11
16Coral points39
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
0Processor points6
8Net points16
8Algae points22
24Total teleop61
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#5
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +97
0Foul points18
39Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21
#16
37.12.0
33.331.3
Auto8.9
Teleop20.8
End7.4
blue by 26.2
8570
#10
63.31.7
57.959.6
Auto13.8
Teleop39.4
End10.1
Second
5045
#42
19.92.0
16.013.9
Auto4.6
Teleop13.9
End1.4
blue by 18.2
38.01.7
28.330.1
Auto11.2
Teleop22.0
End4.9
Third
2856
#37
17.13.4
20.216.8
Auto3.3
Teleop13.0
End0.9
red by 4.8
9152
#29
12.42.6
8.611.2
Auto1.2
Teleop7.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned