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Red62
53817.6
463018.1
101427.1
Blue76
384328.3
748324.3
285617.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68720501001506276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave3
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +18
9Coral scored#10
34Coral points36
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
0Processor points12
8Net points12
8Algae points24
42Total teleop60
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#3
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
62Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1014
#19
27.10.6
24.624.1
Auto5.9
Teleop15.1
End6.2
blue by 1.2
3843
#14
28.30.3
20.220.6
Auto5.1
Teleop17.5
End5.7
Second
4630
#38
18.11.0
19.919.0
Auto6.2
Teleop9.7
End2.2
blue by 6.2
7483
#25
24.30.3
22.923.3
Auto5.6
Teleop16.2
End2.5
Third
538
#32
17.60.6
14.513.9
Auto3.5
Teleop12.3
End1.8
red by 0.4
2856
#37
17.10.6
16.917.5
Auto3.3
Teleop13.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsMissed