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Red72
349229.6
350438.0
1013714.4
Blue70
159245.9
1010117.0
574419.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1038960801201401607270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+28Teleop
+4Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave0
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points9
27Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +10
9Coral scored#7
31Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
45Total teleop35
Reef
5L4#3
4L3#2
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +24
0Cage & park24
0Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points2
72Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.01.2
35.434.3
Auto11.2
Teleop22.0
End4.9
blue by 7.9
1592
#12
45.90.4
44.644.2
Auto5.0
Teleop30.3
End10.6
Second
3492
#23
29.61.2
34.333.1
Auto5.7
Teleop23.2
End0.7
red by 10.6
5744
#27
19.00.7
14.814.1
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End3.7
Third
14.42.0
19.917.9
Auto6.2
Teleop6.1
End2.1
blue by 2.7
17.00.4
15.214.8
Auto2.6
Teleop10.9
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned