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Red111
393765.1
725514.1
170841.2
Blue144
402073.2
382436.2
313920.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13713250100150200111144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+31
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave3
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points34
26Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +20
15Coral scored#19
53Coral points69
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
71Total teleop91
Reef
5L4#11
6L3#6
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
22Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points0
111Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#18
65.10.5
62.962.4
Auto12.0
Teleop44.5
End8.6
blue by 8.0
73.21.9
69.571.4
Auto22.1
Teleop43.7
End7.4
Second
1708
#39
41.20.5
40.239.7
Auto5.1
Teleop33.5
End2.6
red by 5.0
3824
#21
36.21.9
30.832.7
Auto7.7
Teleop22.0
End6.5
Third
7255
#35
14.10.5
15.615.1
Auto2.7
Teleop8.7
End2.7
blue by 6.7
3139
#36
20.81.9
15.217.1
Auto3.7
Teleop14.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
49%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned86%Barge oddsEarned