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Red120
651747.9
500236.7
426544.8
Blue101
406550.2
382120.9
2137.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15111950100200250120101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+17Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave6
6Coral scored#5
28Coral points24
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +10
14Coral scored#11
49Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
67Total teleop57
Reef
8L4#4
4L3#6
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#20
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
120Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.90.7
48.147.4
Auto10.4
Teleop27.9
End9.6
blue by 2.2
4065
#13
50.20.5
49.749.2
Auto15.1
Teleop29.1
End6.0
Second
44.80.7
44.944.3
Auto11.3
Teleop27.8
End5.7
red by 7.7
21
#16
37.10.5
36.636.2
Auto8.9
Teleop20.8
End7.4
Third
5002
#17
36.70.7
37.436.7
Auto7.8
Teleop24.7
End4.3
red by 15.8
3821
#31
20.90.6
21.520.9
Auto4.7
Teleop13.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned