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Red197
314036.8
23358.7
707240.6
Blue125
966814.5
742845.6
398423.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1518150100200250197125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+58Teleop
+70Endgame
+72Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave9
5Coral scored#0
24Coral points0
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +37
20Coral scored#18
71Coral points66
7Processor algae#3
7Net algae#5
42Processor points18
28Net points20
70Algae points38
141Total teleop104
Reef
10L4#6
8L3#6
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#26
BargeRed +12
24Cage & park12
24Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +72
2Foul points0
197Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#7
58.73.1
56.459.4
Auto11.8
Teleop41.0
End5.9
red by 13.1
7428
#24
45.61.5
42.644.1
Auto7.4
Teleop32.5
End5.7
Second
40.63.1
33.636.7
Auto14.2
Teleop20.7
End5.7
red by 17.5
3984
#45
23.01.5
21.322.8
Auto4.2
Teleop15.8
End3.0
Third
3140
#28
36.83.1
33.536.6
Auto3.8
Teleop31.3
End1.7
red by 22.3
9668
#34
14.51.5
13.615.1
Auto2.5
Teleop11.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
38%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsMissed