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Red123
430614.2
146632.1
584764.6
Blue169
457622.5
857063.3
1047957.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11714250100200250123169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+24
Endgame+46
Fouls+46
AutonomousBlue +12
3Leave3
3Coral scored#6
17Coral points29
20Total auto32
TeleoperatedBlue +12
21Coral scored#21
77Coral points75
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#5
12Processor points18
12Net points20
24Algae points38
101Total teleop113
Reef
5L4#13
9L3#4
7L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +46
0Foul points0
123Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.60.5
57.357.8
Auto13.2
Teleop49.2
End2.2
red by 1.3
8570
#10
63.32.0
62.964.9
Auto13.8
Teleop39.4
End10.1
Second
1466
#30
32.10.5
31.832.3
Auto5.8
Teleop24.9
End1.5
blue by 25.6
57.72.0
42.945.0
Auto11.7
Teleop38.5
End7.5
Third
4306
#44
14.20.8
14.815.6
Auto3.7
Teleop9.2
End1.3
blue by 8.3
4576
#43
22.52.0
18.820.8
Auto5.5
Teleop15.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsEarned43%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned