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Red118
446753.2
581619.7
239340.7
Blue64
1026912.8
915212.4
261445.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127755010015020011864

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+56Teleop
+54Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave3
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points13
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +42
17Coral scored#6
60Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
74Total teleop32
Reef
8L4#3
8L3#3
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points0
118Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.20.7
43.344.0
Auto12.5
Teleop33.7
End7.0
red by 7.9
2614
#20
45.40.3
43.443.1
Auto11.4
Teleop29.6
End4.4
Second
2393
#22
40.71.1
39.340.4
Auto8.8
Teleop28.7
End3.2
red by 27.9
12.80.5
14.614.0
Auto4.8
Teleop5.5
End2.5
Third
5816
#33
19.70.7
22.423.1
Auto5.0
Teleop14.8
End-0.1
red by 7.4
9152
#29
12.40.5
8.27.7
Auto1.2
Teleop7.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned67%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsEarned