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Red9
91855.0
743910.8
Blue45
943613.1
878310.5
497213.3
46%Model gave it54%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42460206080100945

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+32
Endgame+34
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +29
0Coral scored#5
0Coral points19
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
0Total teleop29
Reef
0L4#2
0L3#2
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
0Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
2Foul points4
9Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7439
#44
10.83.5
13.39.8
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End2.6
blue by 2.5
4972
#27
13.30.1
17.717.8
Auto3.3
Teleop9.0
End1.0
Second
7.83.5
15.311.8
Auto3.6
Teleop4.1
End0.1
blue by 5.4
9436
#41
13.10.1
10.510.5
Auto3.0
Teleop8.3
End1.8
Third
9185
#42
5.03.5
9.86.3
Auto2.3
Teleop0.4
End2.3
blue by 5.5
8783
#35
10.50.1
12.212.3
Auto2.6
Teleop6.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed