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Red55
91609.0
743910.8
815323.9
Blue117
1050211.8
1059817.7
960964.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3010202040608012014016055117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+50
Endgame+62
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +8
3Leave9
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points8
9Total auto17
TeleoperatedBlue +42
8Coral scored#14
28Coral points50
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#4
6Processor points18
8Net points16
14Algae points34
42Total teleop84
Reef
4L4#6
3L3#6
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points0
55Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8153
#21
23.90.8
19.520.2
Auto5.5
Teleop17.2
End1.2
blue by 40.2
64.21.3
60.762.0
Auto14.4
Teleop41.3
End8.5
Second
7439
#44
10.80.8
9.19.8
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End2.6
blue by 6.9
17.71.3
15.917.2
Auto4.3
Teleop6.5
End6.9
Third
9160
#47DQ
9.00.8
8.49.1
Auto1.5
Teleop6.0
End1.5
blue by 2.9
11.82.2
9.211.4
Auto4.1
Teleop5.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned63%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed29%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned