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Red199
636963.6
903419.8
557249.8
Blue110
72719.0
45731.7
367924.2
91%Model gave it9%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89490100150199110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+67Teleop
+77Endgame
+89Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave0
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points6
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +50
20Coral scored#20
72Coral points72
7Processor algae#2
9Net algae#4
42Processor points12
36Net points16
78Algae points28
150Total teleop100
Reef
6L4#8
8L3#5
6L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
39Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +89
12Foul points0
199Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.69.2
34.443.6
Auto15.0
Teleop39.3
End9.3
red by 31.9
457
#4
31.73.4
15.819.2
Auto6.3
Teleop18.4
End7.0
Second
49.89.2
26.135.2
Auto12.1
Teleop30.8
End6.9
red by 25.5
24.23.4
20.023.4
Auto3.8
Teleop19.6
End0.8
Third
9034
#17
19.89.2
12.021.2
Auto3.3
Teleop15.6
End1.0
red by 10.8
7271
#35
9.03.4
8.311.7
Auto0.9
Teleop6.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed