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Red24
750311.1
96645.9
754012.9
Blue103
624314.3
914027.5
941829.3
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39790206010012014024103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+39
Endgame+49
Fouls+79
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +36
2Coral scored#9
8Coral points34
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
12Total teleop48
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#4
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +79
0Foul points30
24Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7540
#12
12.92.3
18.115.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.5
End1.6
blue by 16.4
29.30.3
24.224.5
Auto4.8
Teleop20.9
End3.7
Second
7503
#31
11.12.3
11.89.5
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End1.2
blue by 16.4
9140
#10
27.50.3
22.923.2
Auto3.2
Teleop23.2
End1.1
Third
9664
#34
5.92.3
8.76.4
Auto2.4
Teleop1.3
End2.3
blue by 8.3
6243
#11
14.30.3
18.018.3
Auto4.9
Teleop7.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsEarned