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Red33
94483.1
931114.7
37437.5
Blue56
174516.2
589228.1
541420.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288002040601001201403356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+31
Endgame+29
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
3Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +28
3Coral scored#7
12Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#4
6Processor points6
0Net points16
6Algae points22
18Total teleop46
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#3
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
6Foul points0
33Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9311
#13
14.71.4
9.98.5
Auto3.1
Teleop9.6
End2.0
blue by 13.4
5892
#20
28.12.1
20.418.3
Auto6.0
Teleop20.4
End1.7
Second
3743
#37
7.51.4
10.59.1
Auto2.9
Teleop4.2
End0.5
blue by 12.8
5414
#36
20.32.1
24.522.4
Auto4.2
Teleop15.1
End1.0
Third
9448
#41
3.11.4
9.98.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop0.9
End2.3
blue by 13.1
16.22.1
22.320.2
Auto2.8
Teleop11.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed