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Red46
71389.3
857311.9
384751.2
Blue18
510318.9
59866.6
861010.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7836020601001204618

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+20Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +16
4Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
6Processor points0
0Net points0
6Algae points0
19Total teleop3
Reef
2L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
6Game pieces#2
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
46Total score18

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.21.9
36.034.2
Auto14.1
Teleop28.7
End8.4
red by 32.3
5103
#16
18.91.8
16.514.7
Auto3.8
Teleop13.0
End2.0
Second
8573
#27
11.91.9
15.013.1
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End2.2
red by 1.3
8610
#29
10.61.8
8.56.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.9
End1.3
Third
7138
#14
9.31.9
11.79.8
Auto2.3
Teleop5.5
End1.4
red by 2.6
5986
#25
6.61.8
8.77.0
Auto4.0
Teleop-0.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsMissed