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Red119
47177.9
636963.6
45731.7
Blue58
859810.8
1051813.4
887421.0
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions923905015011958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+57Teleop
+61Endgame
+61Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +50
19Coral scored#10
69Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
97Total teleop47
Reef
10L4#5
4L3#2
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#13
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +61
0Foul points0
119Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.63.5
43.647.1
Auto15.0
Teleop39.3
End9.3
red by 42.7
21.00.5
15.516.0
Auto4.2
Teleop14.7
End2.1
Second
457
#4
31.73.5
19.222.8
Auto6.3
Teleop18.4
End7.0
red by 18.3
13.40.5
9.39.8
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End1.1
Third
4717
#32
7.93.5
7.310.8
Auto1.7
Teleop5.4
End0.7
blue by 2.9
8598
#38
10.80.5
12.312.8
Auto2.6
Teleop8.1
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed