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Red59
589228.1
71389.3
859810.8
Blue26
750311.1
801920.1
75216.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445302060801005926

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+31Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +27
8Coral scored#3
28Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
42Total teleop15
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#1
1L2#0
2L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#5
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
59Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5892
#20
28.11.9
21.323.2
Auto6.0
Teleop20.4
End1.7
red by 8.0
20.11.6
19.117.5
Auto4.0
Teleop13.9
End2.1
Second
8598
#38
10.81.9
6.98.8
Auto2.6
Teleop8.1
End0.1
blue by 0.3
7503
#31
11.11.6
13.411.9
Auto3.1
Teleop6.8
End1.2
Third
7138
#14
9.31.9
6.78.6
Auto2.3
Teleop5.5
End1.4
red by 3.2
7521
#39
6.11.6
8.36.7
Auto1.6
Teleop4.4
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed12%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed