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Red106
908016.1
557249.8
572615.6
Blue138
384751.2
174516.2
624314.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7284204060100120140106138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+10
+2Endgame
Fouls+32
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points23
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +7
13Coral scored#11
47Coral points38
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
6Processor points18
12Net points16
18Algae points34
65Total teleop72
Reef
7L4#4
4L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +32
2Foul points36
106Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.82.0
43.445.4
Auto12.1
Teleop30.8
End6.9
blue by 1.4
51.21.1
43.744.8
Auto14.1
Teleop28.7
End8.4
Second
9080
#30
16.12.0
11.213.2
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End2.4
blue by 0.1
16.21.1
18.019.1
Auto2.8
Teleop11.8
End1.5
Third
5726
#26
15.62.0
12.314.3
Auto2.2
Teleop12.0
End1.4
red by 1.4
6243
#11
14.31.1
16.117.2
Auto4.9
Teleop7.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsEarned